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PREDICTIVE MICROBIOLOGY

quantitative tools to manage food safety & quality risk

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WHAT IS PREDICTIVE MICROBIOLOGY?

Predictive microbiology is 'condensed knowledge.' In other words, it is the science of  translating food microbiology laboratory data into mathematical equations (models) that predict how populations of bacteria grow or decline under specific environmental conditions.

The most useful predictive models are those that have been validated for actual food processing and handling conditions, and then translated into user-friendly interfaces. We encourage you to view the tutorials for more in-depth  information.

Tutorials

TUTORIALS

What is predictive microbiology?

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Using predictive models to manage food safety

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Phases of bacterial growth and decline 

Test Tubes

Designing predictive model experiments

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Steps in model production

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Measuring model performance

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Tertiary models - the user interface

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Integrating models over a series of food processes

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Models integrated with supply chain sensors

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